Championship permutation engine
Who can
still win?
Every driver below is checked against the points actually left on the table. Pick one who's still alive and you'll get the exact job list — wins, sprints, podiums, and the round it could be sealed. The blurred ones are gone. You can still click them.
Rounds left
—
counting from the schedule
Sprints left
—
8 points to the winner
Points still available
—
maximum any driver can add
Still mathematically alive
—
everyone else is out
Step one
Pick your driver
Modelled, not factual
Title probability
This resamples each driver's real 2026 finishing positions — retirements included — across every remaining round, thousands of times over. It's an estimate of form, not a prediction. Everything above it is hard maths.
Press the button to run the model in your browser.